Will CENTCOM report additional strike activity in Iran beyond the initial IRGC-target strikes by September 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC?
This market tests whether CENTCOM provides public updates indicating further strike activity in Iran related to IRGC targets after the initial strikes referenced in the topic, which matters for how quickly escalation is perceived around the Strait of Hormuz.
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Public evidence and related article signals for this market.
Outcome A occurs if, on or before 2026-09-12T18:00:16Z, CENTCOM publishes a public update that clearly indicates additional strike activity in Iran (e.g., “additional strikes,” “follow-on,” “new targets,” or another distinct strike event) that is still connected to IRGC targets. Outcome B occurs if no such additional-strike indication is published by that deadline. Select “Yes” if the resolution sources report CENTCOM’s public updates indicating additional strike activity in Iran related to IRGC targets dated on or before 2026-09-12T18:00:16Z; otherwise select “No”.
This market view is a legacy grouping of related sources. It does not state causal links or determine resolution.
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Related source group
ABC News RSS
1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.
1 articles · 1 trusted signals -
Related source group
www.bbc.com
1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.
1 articles · 1 trusted signals