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Will CENTCOM confirm at least one publicly reported strike on IRGC targets inside Iran by September 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC?

This market predicts whether U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) issues public confirmation of at least one strike on IRGC targets inside Iran by the stated deadline, which is directly tied to the Iran–US conflict reported around the Strait of Hormuz.

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Iran live updates: US has begun striking IRGC targets in Iran, CENTCOM says
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Public evidence and related article signals for this market.

Outcome A occurs if, on or before 2026-09-08T18:00:16Z, CENTCOM publishes a public statement on its official CENTCOM website and/or an official CENTCOM social-media account (e.g., X/Twitter) that explicitly confirms that the U.S. conducted strikes and identifies IRGC targets inside Iran (using wording such as “IRGC” and “strike/target/operation” in a strike-confirmation context). Outcome B occurs if no such CENTCOM confirmation is published by that deadline. Select “Yes” if CENTCOM’s public reporting (as reproduced by the resolution sources) includes an explicit confirmation of at least one strike on IRGC targets inside Iran dated on or before 2026-09-08T18:00:16Z; otherwise select “No”.

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This market view is a legacy grouping of related sources. It does not state causal links or determine resolution.

  1. Related source group ABC News RSS

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals
  2. Related source group www.bbc.com

    1 article counted as 1 authority contribution.

    1 articles · 1 trusted signals

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