Prediction market
Did the US Defense Department announce a Patriot-interceptor production license/authorization for Ukraine within 14 days of Trump’s pledge?
This market checks whether the Pentagon publicly announces a license/authorization tied to Ukraine producing Patriot interceptors within a 14-day window after Trump’s pledge. The event is resolvable from official DoD announcement.
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Count as occurring if, within 14 days after the specified date of Trump’s pledge, a publicly accessible DoD (including official DoD/departmental releases or official statements) document or notice indicates Ukraine has been granted a license/authorization to produce Patriot interceptor components/interceptors. YES if a publicly documented DoD announcement within 14 days of Trump’s pledge grants Ukraine a license/authority to manufacture Patriot interceptors. NO if no such DoD announcement is publicly documented within the 14-day window by 2026-07-20T00:09:01Z.